Muddy Waters Research | Due diligence-based equity research on Chinese companies

Block on CNBC’s Squawk Box Discussing Latest Short, eHealth Inc.

Block on CNBC’s Squawk Box discussing MW's latest short, eHealth Inc. Watch the full interview here… more

Doing the Work
Wall Street Won’t

Muddy Waters peels back the layers, often built up by seemingly respected but sycophantic law firms, auditors, and venal managements.

Joyy Inc.

MW is Short Joyy Inc. (YY US)

While trawling the sewers of the world’s capital markets over the past 10 years, irony has never been in short supply. And yet, nothing could prepare us for the surreality of Baidu announcing its intention to buy YY Live from JOYY, which happened just as we were preparing to reveal that our year-lon… more

MultiPlan Corp.

MultiPlan: Private Equity Necrophilia Meets The Great 2020 Money Grab (MPLN US)

In the great present-day money grab known as SPAC promotion, egregious mistakes will be made – such as missing an impending customer defection that could cost ~35% of revenue within two years. A business model that incentivizes promoters to do something – anything – with other people’s money is boun… more

Nano-X Imaging Ltd.

MW is Short Nano-X Imaging Ltd. (NNOX US)

We are short NNOX because we think it is a much bigger piece of garbage than Nikola will ever be. There are important similarities, though. Nikola rolled a truck down the hill to try to prove it’s real. NNOX almost certainly used somebody else’s chest images to try to make its ARC machine look re… more

eHealth Inc.

EHTH: Booking Revenues Today that it Will Collect in 2029 (EHTH US)

We estimate that – prior to any tail revenue adjustment – it takes EHTH nine years to fully collect each dollar of Medicare Advantage revenue it books. With tail revenue adjustments, EHTH’s collection period seemingly extends to 20 years. EHTH’s future cash flows are therefore highly speculative.… more

GSX Techedu Inc.

GSX: Small Classes, Big Lies (GSX US)

On May 18th, we published our research on GSX in which we concluded that at least 70% of GSX’s purported users are fraudulent, and quite likely the real percentage of fake users is over 80%. We detailed three behaviors we were highly confident evidenced widespread bot usage: “Precise Joiners”, “GSX… more

GSX Techedu Inc.

MW is Short GSX Techedu Inc. (GSX US)

We are short GSX because we conclude that it is a near-total fraud. We conclude that at least ~70% of its users are fake, and we think it’s quite likely that at least ~80% of its users are fake. Our conclusions are based on GSX’s own user and attendance data files (i.e., this is n… more

Burford Capital Ltd.

Burford: Husbanding Liquidity, Wife-ing Financials (BUR LN)

Burford’s 2019 financials use reclassification, redefinition to inflate cash receipts, operating profit, and to otherwise present a misleading picture of the business. Cutting through the new bullshit, we adjust Burford’s cash receipts to show a YoY decline of -11.8%. We also adjust reported 2019 op… more

eHealth Inc.

MW is Short eHealth Inc. (EHTH US)

EHTH’s highly aggressive accounting masks what we believe is a significantly unprofitable business. Based on variable costs alone, we estimate that EHTH will lose approximately -$135 from each MA member it enrolled in 2019. If also including fixed costs, our per MA member loss estimate becomes -$4… more